Climate Projections

Do you need help determining future climate conditions for your community?

Our scientists collaborate with the nation’s leading climate modelers to bring to you the most useful and up-to-date information for your local area. This data is provided as maps, graphs, reports, and dynamic online presentations that are easy to read and understand. We have the knowledge and relationships needed to navigate complex model output and ever-changing data availability.

A community can select from the following options for local climate projections.

Geos Institute staff will work to understand a community’s needs before advising on options to include in a climate projection report. Please contact Geoff Weaver at  geoff@geosinstitute.org to learn more.
Climate Ready Communities subscribers receive 5% discount.

Report Card ($500)

This option provides a basic set of climate projections for a specific location that includes temperature and precipitation variables. The Report Card is suggested for communities that are budget constrained and want more specific information than is available from free tools*. At a summary level the Report Card includes:

  • Projections for a city or town
  • Table and graphs with a fixed set of 15 climate variables
  • Timeframes that cover historical (1961-1990), mid-century (2036-2065) and late-century (2066-2095)
  • A higher and lower emissions scenario (RCP 8.5 and RCP 4.5)
  • Brief narrative describing localized climate projections
  • Brief consultation with climate scientist as needed to provide additional explanation
Deliverables: Report card (2 pages).
What’s not included: regional coverage, maps, sea level rise projections, thresholds (extreme events) analysis
*Free climate projection tools include the Climate Explorer by USGS and NOAA, Cal-Adapt, and other tools provided for specific states, provinces or regions

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Climate Trends Primer ($3500)

For communities that need climate projections for an entire area rather than a single point location, and seek maps in addition to tables and graphs, this option provides a full report covering temperature and precipitation variables that meets the requirements for a Climate Trends Primer as outlined in the Climate Ready Communities Practical Guide for Building Climate Resilience. At a summary level the Climate Trends Primer includes:

  • Community-defined geographic range such as county, group of counties, watershed or city
  • Tables, graphs and maps with a set of 15 climate variables
  • Timeframes that cover historical (1961-1990), mid-century (2036-2065) and late-century (2066-2095)
  • A higher and lower emissions scenario (RCP 8.5 and RCP 4.5)
  • Extended narrative describing global, regional, and localized climate projections, model uncertainty, and the value of climate projections in decision-making processes
  • Consultation with climate scientist to select variables and geographic region
Deliverables: Climate Trends Primer (report).
What’s not included: sea level rise projections, thresholds (extreme events) analysis

Option A: animated online presentation for unlimited playback by the community (5-10 minutes length)
Option B: remote live presentation that is recorded and allows unlimited playback by the community (45-60 minutes including Q&A)
Option C: Synthesis of scientific research on the impacts of projected climate stressors on ecological and socioeconomic systems of interest to the community

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Custom Climate Trends Primer (per quotation)

For communities that need a Climate Trends Primer that covers climate variables beyond temperature and precipitation (such as sea level rise, permafrost, or wildfire) and meets the requirements outlined in the Climate Ready Communities Practical Guide for Building Climate Resilience, the Geos Institute will work to define and provide a quotation for a Custom Climate Trends Primer. At a summary level a Custom Climate Trends Primer may include:

  • Community-defined geographic range such as county, group of counties, watershed or city
  • Tables, graphs and maps with community selected variables; includes the option for sea level rise, frequency and/or magnitude of wildfire, wildfire smoke hazard, permafrost stability, stream flow, etc.
  • Timeframes that cover historical (1961-1990), mid-century (2036-2065) and late-century (2066-2095)
  • A higher and lower emissions scenario (RCP 8.5 and RCP 4.5)
  • Extended narrative describing global, regional, and localized climate projections, model uncertainty, and the value of climate projections in decision-making processes
  • Consultation with climate scientist to select variables, geographic region and report options

Other options
  • Animated presentation for unlimited playback by the community
  • Remote live presentation that is recorded and allows unlimited playback by the community
  • Synthesis of scientific research on the impacts of projected climate stressors on ecological and socioeconomic systems of interest to the community
Deliverables: Climate Trends Primer and others as selected by the community

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